Normative Narratives


Monday Morning QB: Setting the Market

Hello everybody. I hope you all had a happy holidays, and were able to save up enough good feelings to make it through these next few weeks until the next round of holiday festivities.

Quick thoughts about the NFL before I get to my main point:

RGIII is the truth; he’s going to give the G-men headaches for years. Eli is back in elite form and the giants D-line showed up in a big W vs. the Packers. The Bears look good on both sides of the ball again. Kolin Kaepernick seems to be for real; the guy’s got a laser arm, can run and avoid pressure, and is now 2-0 as a starter vs. two good teams—guess I focused on the wrong backup QBs to highlight last week huh?

The Steelers need Ben Roethlisberger back if they want to a chance to get to the playoffs this year. After committing 8 turnovers against the Browns, it will be ugly next week vs. a much better Ravens defense if he’s not under center.

The Eagles look to continue rebuilding with Nick Foles during Andy Reid’s lame duck period as his time with the Eagles comes to an end. Both Vick and Reid have a history of success in the NFL, and I would bet both of them find a new NFL team next year. The Dallas Cowboys look like they should follow suit and begin rebuilding—the Tony Romo project has failed.

The Jets are terrible, maybe I’ve been to kind to Mark Sanchez. Fireman Ed “quits” in a symbolic move; if he’s as much of a fair-weather fan as most other Jets fans, he’ll be back when they start winning again.

The Patriots, Texans, and Falcons are all very good; It’s gonna be a tough road to the SB this season in both the AFC and the NFC, as it always is.

In baseball, I believe the market has been set for Josh Hamilton. Over the weekend, the Tampa Bay Rays extended Evan Longoria for 6 years 100 million dollars. Longoria is 27 years old, and will be 29 when the extension kicks in. Hamilton is a bit older at 31, but due to off the field issues will be starting only his 7th MLB season next year (it will be Longoria’s 6th). Both players are leaders on their clubs, have MVP type talent, and have a history of injuries. Hamilton’s off the field issues make him a bigger risk, but his talent level is a bit higher than Longoria’s so I believe there value evens out.

Hamilton’s camp wanted somewhere in the 5-6 year, 140 million dollar range, but after Longoria’s extension and unwillingness by teams to sign the big deals this offseason, I believe they will have to readjust their asking price.